Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001720 0.001906 0.002092 0.002294 0.002504 0.002716 0.002947
2025-02-09 0.001524 0.001800 0.002085 0.002399 0.002734 0.003080 0.003462
2025-02-16 0.001305 0.001645 0.002006 0.002414 0.002858 0.003324 0.003846
2025-02-23 0.001061 0.001441 0.001858 0.002340 0.002876 0.003447 0.004095
2025-03-02 0.000859 0.001267 0.001728 0.002275 0.002894 0.003563 0.004332
2025-03-09 0.000694 0.001119 0.001616 0.002220 0.002916 0.003679 0.004565
2025-03-16 0.000569 0.001006 0.001537 0.002196 0.002966 0.003821 0.004823
2025-03-23 0.000510 0.000971 0.001546 0.002270 0.003128 0.004087 0.005218
2025-03-30 0.000431 0.000902 0.001508 0.002285 0.003217 0.004268 0.005516
2025-04-06 0.000378 0.000862 0.001501 0.002335 0.003345 0.004491 0.005861
2025-04-13 0.000348 0.000851 0.001530 0.002427 0.003522 0.004770 0.006267
2025-04-20 0.000269 0.000758 0.001446 0.002375 0.003522 0.004844 0.006437
2025-04-27 0.000194 0.000671 0.001382 0.002368 0.003607 0.005047 0.006797
2025-05-04 0.000158 0.000645 0.001402 0.002471 0.003827 0.005414 0.007352
2025-05-11 0.000106 0.000575 0.001354 0.002483 0.003937 0.005653 0.007762
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000470 0.001243 0.002406 0.003933 0.005756 0.008013
2025-05-25 0.000016 0.000380 0.001144 0.002339 0.003936 0.005864 0.008269
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000305 0.001058 0.002283 0.003950 0.005984 0.008537
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000250 0.000997 0.002257 0.004000 0.006145 0.008852
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000234 0.001006 0.002332 0.004182 0.006467 0.009359
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000201 0.000976 0.002347 0.004282 0.006688 0.009745
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000181 0.000970 0.002397 0.004429 0.006966 0.010198
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000175 0.000993 0.002491 0.004632 0.007314 0.010735